I have reached 1-million-dollar net worth. My next goal is to reach 10-million-dollar net worth in 10 years' time. I've asked Chat GPT what the 10 ways are to hit the 10-million-dollar net worth and what are the probability of success.
Here are 10 possible ways, with a rough probability of success (my estimates, not guarantees):
1. Aggressive Stock/ETF Investing
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Invest in growth stocks, small caps, tech, or emerging markets.
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Requires discipline, timing, and risk tolerance.
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CAGR target: 15–25%.
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Probability of success: ⭐⭐ 15–20%.
(Possible, but hard to sustain 10 years without major drawdowns.)
2. Real Estate Development / Leveraged Property Investing
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Buy undervalued property, use leverage, develop/rent, and compound profits.
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Works especially in fast-growing cities like Singapore, Malaysia, or overseas hotspots.
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CAGR target: 20–30% (with leverage).
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Probability of success: ⭐⭐⭐ 25–30%.
(Good if you understand property cycles and financing.)
3. Build & Scale a Business
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Starting your own company with scalable growth (tech, e-commerce, services).
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Businesses can grow much faster than passive assets.
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CAGR target: 30–50% (if successful).
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Probability of success: ⭐ 5–10%.
(High upside, but most businesses fail before scaling.)
4. Private Equity / Angel Investing
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Invest in startups or private businesses before they grow.
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Can return 10x or more if you pick winners.
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CAGR target: 25–50%.
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Probability of success: ⭐ 5–10%.
(High risk; most fail, but a few huge winners can carry portfolio.)
5. High-Level Career + Stock Options
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Work in top roles (tech, finance, biotech), negotiate stock options.
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E.g., executives at FAANG, startups, or unicorns.
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CAGR target: 20–30% via comp + equity.
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Probability of success: ⭐⭐ 10–15%.
(Needs career leverage + luck with company success.)
6. Hedge Fund / Quant Trading
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Active trading in equities, futures, or crypto with strategies.
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Needs skill, system, and discipline.
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CAGR target: 25–40%.
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Probability of success: ⭐⭐ 10–15%.
(Possible if you’re exceptional, but most traders lose long-term.)
7. Cryptocurrency & Blockchain Ventures
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Investing in crypto projects, tokens, or blockchain businesses.
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10x is possible (crypto already produced many 10x cases).
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CAGR target: 30–60%.
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Probability of success: ⭐ 5–10%.
(High volatility; huge upside, but timing is everything.)
8. Franchising / Multiple Businesses
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Buy or start franchises, scale to multiple outlets.
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Cash flow + reinvestment accelerates growth.
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CAGR target: 20–25%.
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Probability of success: ⭐⭐ 15–20%.
(If you pick the right franchise model and location.)
9. Combination Strategy (Barbell Approach)
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Core safe investments (bonds, index ETFs) + high-risk bets (startups, crypto, trading).
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Limits downside while keeping upside open.
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CAGR target: 20–25%.
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Probability of success: ⭐⭐⭐ 25–30%.
(Balanced risk, not all eggs in one basket.)
10. Partnerships & Joint Ventures
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Team up with others to pool capital, skills, and networks.
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Could be in real estate, startups, or funds.
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CAGR target: 20–30%.
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Probability of success: ⭐⭐ 15–20%.
(Stronger with good partners; weaker if trust or management issues arise.)
🔑 Key Takeaways
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To grow $1M → $10M in 10 years, you need very high returns (~26%/yr).
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Safe passive investing won’t cut it (likely $2–3M max in 10 years).
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Realistic best bets: property leverage, building/scaling a business, or barbell strategy (some safe + some moonshot bets).
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Probabilities: Only 10–30% chance realistically, unless you take big risks and succeed.
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