Singapore Campaign Election 2025 9th Days

 

Overview of Constituencies for GE2025

The following table outlines the 97 parliamentary seats contested in GE2025, categorized by constituency type and the number of Members of Parliament (MPs) representing each.

Constituency TypeConstituency NameNumber of MPs
SMCBukit Gombak1
SMCBukit Panjang1
SMCHougang1
SMCJalan Kayu1
SMCJurong Central1
SMCKebun Baru1
SMCMarymount1
SMCMountbatten1
SMCPioneer1
SMCPotong Pasir1
SMCQueenstown1
SMCRadin Mas1
SMCSembawang West1
SMCTampines Changkat1
SMCYio Chu Kang1
GRCAljunied5
GRCAng Mo Kio5
GRCBishan-Toa Payoh4
GRCChua Chu Kang4
GRCEast Coast5
GRCHolland-Bukit Timah4
GRCJalan Besar4
GRCJurong East-Bukit Batok5
GRCMarine Parade-Braddell Heights5
GRCMarsiling-Yew Tee4
GRCNee Soon5
GRCPasir Ris-Changi4
GRCPunggol4
GRCSembawang5
GRCSengkang4
GRCTampines5
GRCTanjong Pagar5
GRCWest Coast-Jurong West5

Changes from Previous Election

Several constituencies have been newly created or restructured to reflect population shifts and urban development:The Straits Times+5The Straits Times+5CNA+5

  • New SMCs: Bukit Gombak, Jalan Kayu, Jurong Central, Queenstown, Sembawang West, and Tampines Changkat.CNA+5CNA+5The Straits Times+5

  • New GRCs: Jurong East-Bukit Batok, Marine Parade-Braddell Heights, Pasir Ris-Changi, Punggol, and West Coast-Jurong West.The Straits Times+5CNA+5CNA+5

These changes aim to balance the number of electors across constituencies and accommodate new housing developments.


As Singapore approaches its general election on May 3, 2025, the nation is witnessing a dynamic political landscape shaped by a condensed nine-day campaign period. All 97 parliamentary seats across 33 constituencies are contested, with the ruling People's Action Party (PAP) striving to maintain its long-standing dominance amid growing challenges from opposition parties.


The 9-Day Campaign: A Snapshot

The brief campaign period has been marked by intense activities, with parties leveraging both traditional methods and digital platforms to reach voters. Key issues dominating the discourse include rising living costs, housing affordability, and employment concerns. Prime Minister Lawrence Wong has emphasized the importance of experienced leadership to navigate economic uncertainties, particularly in managing relationships with major powers like the U.S. and China.


Electoral Landscape and Key Contenders

People's Action Party (PAP)

Having governed since 1959, the PAP enters the election with a strong track record of economic development and political stability. However, recent years have seen a decline in its vote share, from 70% in 2015 to 61% in 2020, reflecting public concerns over issues such as cost of living and immigration.

Workers' Party (WP)

The WP has solidified its position as the leading opposition party, currently holding 10 seats. It aims to retain its strongholds, such as Aljunied and Sengkang GRCs, while making inroads into other constituencies. The party's consistent presence and engagement in these areas bolster its prospects.

Progress Singapore Party (PSP)

Led by Hazel Poa, the PSP is focusing on constituencies like West Coast GRC, where it narrowly lost in 2020. The party's performance in these areas will be critical in determining its future trajectory.

Other Opposition Parties

Smaller parties, including the Singapore Democratic Party (SDP), Red Dot United (RDU), and the People's Alliance for Reform (PAR), are also contesting various constituencies. However, overlapping claims have led to potential multi-cornered fights, which could dilute opposition votes.GE2025: Singapore General Election Map


Constituency Highlights

  • Sengkang GRC: A key battleground, with the PAP aiming to reclaim it from the WP.

  • West Coast GRC: Anticipated to be a closely contested area, with the PSP seeking to capitalize on its previous performance.

  • Marine Parade GRC: With changes in the PAP lineup, this constituency could witness a tighter race.


Probabilistic Outlook

Based on current analyses and historical data, the following is a projected outlook for the 97 seats:

  • PAP: Expected to secure approximately 80–85 seats, translating to a probability range of 82.5%–87.6%.

  • WP: Projected to win between 9–12 seats, with a probability range of 9.3%–12.4%.

  • Other Opposition Parties: Collectively anticipated to secure 0–3 seats, corresponding to a probability range of 0%–3.1%.

These projections are subject to change based on voter turnout, last-minute campaign developments, and the impact of multi-cornered contests.


Conclusion

The 2025 general election stands as a pivotal moment in Singapore's political narrative. While the PAP is poised to retain its majority, the evolving dynamics suggest a growing appetite for diverse political representation. The outcomes will not only shape the immediate governance landscape but also signal the electorate's sentiments on pressing national issues.

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